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What is "Contraction and Convergence"/"Cap and Share"?
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| Contraction and Convergence ("C&C") is a method of dealing with
the causes of Climate Change. It was proposed in 1995 by the Global
Commons Institute (www.gci.org.uk). It's aim is to provide a mechanism for the phased
reduction in the emission of man made Greenhouse Gasses ("GHG").
Since all previous agreements have fallen down over problems of
equity then the C&C solution is delightfully simple: every member of
the human race has equal ownership of the atmosphere. Hence all
humans should have an equal Carbon Footprint. Today they do not.
Since Western, Northern and Industrialised Nations have per capita
Carbon Footprints exceeding those of people in poorer countries
(often by a factor of a 100 or more) then the first aim of a GHG
Emission Treaty should be to drive that to an even share.
C&C plans for the Carbon Footprints (as calculated per person) of
each Nation to Converge to the same level, then that level will
slowly decline over time. This approach has broad support across
Governments, Parties and Countries and is likely to form a
cornerstone of future negotiations. Per capita equity is planned for
2045. In the meantime Countries will be able to trade their Carbon
Quotas in a system called "Cap and Share" (www.capandshare.org).
Since the poorer less-developed World has a per capita Carbon
Footprint much lower than the planned convergence level then they
will be able to sell a portion of their allowance. Since richer
industrialised Nations are exceeding their allowances then they will
have to buy further rations from the poor. Hence the flow of income
is reversed and flows from rich to poor. Since the poorer countries
are those most likely to be worst hit by Climate Change, yet are
those who are contributing the least the GHG emissions, then this is
an appropriately just measure.
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Why be concerned?
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| Since all Business is an extension of the World in which we
exist, and are subject to laws and taxation policies, then Global
Agreements on cutting GHG will effect Global Business. There will be
nowhere to hide. Over the next fifty years Business will have to
factor in a sea-change in the way our economies work. There will be
a long and steady drift towards low-carbon technologies. This will
present both an investment potential for Business but will also be a
way for other Businesses to cut cost and emissions.
The other factors to effect Business are regulation and taxation.
There will be a decline in Taxation on incomes. Instead here will be
greater taxes on Consumption of all kinds. In future the only
profitable Business will be that which can make the most efficient
use of the resources available. This means using as little fossil
fuel as possible. New Taxes on Consumption will bring revenue for a
new a system of rebates and incentives to use renewable alternatives
such as Solar and Wind Power. Any business unable or unwilling to
adopt the substitutes will find themselves uncompetitive. |
So, Business as Usual then?
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| No. Sadly not. Not every Business is going to survive this
paradigm shift. The market for energy is going to change radically
but there will be no plug and play solutions. Since Business also
has to face up to Fossil Fuel depletion then even the wealthiest of
Nations and Businesses will not be able to buy their way out of the
problem. In future there will simply be a lot less energy around to
do Business with. Today's form of "Globalisation" and Global
Business will change. Unless Business can adapt to this changing
reality then it will fail. This will not be a case of throwing some
money at the latest Business fad. Real changes will occur and they
will be permanent. |
Business Winners and Losers
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| The cost of long distance Business is going to go through the
roof. Carbon Rationing, Carbon Taxation and Oil Depletion will
revolutionise the way business is done. The losers will be the
Airlines, Automotive Manufacturers, Road Builders, Cement Works,
Holiday firms, Oil Companies, Petrochemical Industry, haulage, the
list is long. The winners will be new industries specialised in
local solutions in a less energy intensive world: bicycle
manufacture and repair, entertainment, knowledge industry, teaching,
services, Communications, renewable energy, sustainable agriculture,
digital electronics, bus companies, bio-fuel manufacturers, home
working, etc, etc. If your business cannot diversify out into these
new industries then it will fail. |
What's in it for me?
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| More and more Businesses are now supporting a transparent and
predictable regulatory framework for CO2 emissions. This manifests
itself as the price of Carbon emissions. If Business knows that it
will be $100 per tonne next year then Business can put together next
year's Business Plan. Krofire Enterprises Ltd is part of a growing
chorus of forward looking and socially responsible companies who are
calling for a global agreement on GHG Emissions. Only a Global
Agreement supplies Business with a level playing field and only a
carefully mapped plan (such as the C&C idea) will allow Business to
plan its future.
Without a plan Business has no future. If action is not taking
then Globalisation will lead to a race to the bottom where the worst
emitters of GHG will win the economic battle to the long term
detriment of us all. Without a global cap on GHG emissions then,
ultimately, there will be a rapidly shrinking World for us to do
Business in. Since Business also faces the challenge of declining
Energy supplies the option of just cranking up the Air Conditioning
and closing our eyes is no longer available. We will transition to a
low energy future. We will have to adjust to a changing world. The
climate will shift. Patterns of living will change. A time of
consequences is upon us now. Those who ignore the danger may well
make short term windfall profits. But there will be little left to
spend that income on. A Business with a future is a sustainable one.
A sustainable Business has a future.
Krofire Enterprises is planning on making a sustainable profit
and staying in Business for the foreseeable future. We plan to be a
winner. To plan for that future, without destroying the markets and
resources that sustain our Business, we are pressing for equitable
agreements on GHG Emissions. There is no alternative. |
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Last updated
13/07/10 13:05
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Contact
us at: Krofire House, 5 Richard Gardens, High Wycombe, Buckinghamshire,
HP13 7LT, United Kingdom, Tel: +44 (0)1494 522749, Fax: +44
(0)1494 522749, Mobile: +44 (0)7775 767109.
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